Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas Contributor(s): Noland, Marcus (Author) |
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ISBN: 0881322784 ISBN-13: 9780881322781 Publisher: Peterson Institute for International Economic OUR PRICE: $29.70 Product Type: Paperback - Other Formats Published: June 2000 |
Additional Information |
BISAC Categories: - Business & Economics | Development - Economic Development - Political Science | Security (national & International) - Political Science | Public Policy - Economic Policy |
Dewey: 338.951 |
LCCN: 00038314 |
Physical Information: 0.83" H x 5.99" W x 8.97" (1.33 lbs) 456 pages |
Themes: - Cultural Region - East Asian |
Descriptions, Reviews, Etc. |
Publisher Description: On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden--and possibly nuclear-armed--totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and "muddling through" in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation. |